Key findings
200,000+ confirmed Russian KIA
Mediazona/BBC News has confirmed over 200,186 Russian soldiers killed by name — using obituaries, social media, and official sources cross-referenced against the National Probate Registry. Statistical modelling by Meduza/Mediazona suggests actual total deaths are 3–5× higher. These figures make the Russia-Ukraine war the deadliest conflict in Europe since the Second World War.
Territorial advance compressing
Russian net monthly territorial advance fell from a peak of 750 km² in November 2024 to 25 km² in March 2026, with February 2026 recording a net Russian loss of 37 km² — the first month of negative advance in the dataset. The compression correlates with the scaling of Ukrainian FPV operations and USF institutional development.
Air defence attrition accelerating
Verified Ukrainian strikes on Russian air defence infrastructure have destroyed or damaged hundreds of SAM launchers, radars, and command systems since 2022. Progressive degradation of Russia's layered air defence has enabled Ukrainian long-range drone operations to penetrate deeper into Russian territory at higher success rates.
Live data — losses and advance
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Methodology & data sources
Personnel KIA: Mediazona/BBC News confirmed-by-name list. Statistical estimates: Meduza/Mediazona probate registry model. Equipment losses: Oryx photo-confirmed (ceased 2025), supplemented by DIA and CSIS estimates. Territorial advance: Black Bird Group / DeepState, updated quarterly. Data compiled by Andro Mathewson, PhD Candidate in War Studies, King's College London.